
I don't know if you've been following up on the console war, but it's getting exciting.
Analysts tend to be divided along party lines (some are Xbox fans, some
Playstation, etc) so it's hard to find the actual truth through all the
BS.
But it seems that a few things are true:
1. The PS3 is prohibitively expensive.
2. Microsoft has an excellent line-up of games including Halo 3 and GTA
that will ensure it stays in the game. It scored a particularly
important victory by getting GTA to appear in its line-up without
having it on the PS3 first.
3. Despite being a less capable system (and therefore, less expensive)
than either the 360 or the PS3, Nintendo's Wii is captivating audiences
because of it's radically different mode of usage, namely the motion
sensored, remote-style controller.
Before E3, I believed that the Xbox 360 was doomed. First, because it
is less graphically capable than the PS3 (due in November). Second,
because the games I've seen haven't been that graphically great. Third,
it has no next-generation DVD device. The third reason is particularly
important because the format war will be waged this year and next year
in an unusual way - on consoles. Microsoft will sell an HD-DVD add-on
for the 360 (not priced yet). Meanwhile, the PS3 will come with a
Blu-ray player installed. This is why, before E3, I believed the PS3
would completely dominated. In addition to the Blu-ray disc being
superior to HD-DVD, the player comes installed on the PS3. The PS3 is
already a superior system to the 360 in terms of computing power.
You've got a great home entertainment system with one payment. If you
want to go the other way, having a 360 home with HD-DVD capability, you
pay twice - once for the system, once for the player.
Also, before E3, I feared for the future of Nintendo. Above Microsoft
and Sony, I value, honor, and support the work of Nintendo. But after I
saw its new controller system, which seemed to me like a gimmick, heard
the name of its system, Wii, and learned that the Wii would be less
capable than either the 360 and the PS3, I thought for sure that
Nintendo would go the way of Sega. I don't know if you remember, but on
9/9/1999, the Sega Dreamcast was released. It tanked. Sega left the
console business because of that. I believed, before E3, that Nintendo
would be the same way.
E3 has left me with a renewed sense of awe and respect for Nintendo's
determination to remain true to its roots. Nintendo has insisted that
it no longer wants to be compared to Microsoft or Sony. It is not in
the business of changing the way people's living rooms are set up. It
is in the business of making games that are fun to play. With the Wii,
I believe it has brought its video games to a much broader audience. I
have heard from critics that the controller for the Nintendo is
intuitive and manageable. Above that, it is fun to use. For example, in
a tennis game at E3, players used the remote-like controller like a
racket. Nintendo says the controller's motion sensors are such that
tennis players can apply slice and top spin. In Madden NFL 07 for the
Wii, to pass the ball, rather than punch a button, you move the
controller
as if throwing it in the direction of the receiver. To hike the
football, you just jerk the controller up. You also move the controller
to kick the ball. Choosing a play or changing the player you control is
as simple as pointing and clicking at the TV. This more
interactive, intuitive, and simplistic way of controlling (there are much fewer buttons
on the controller compared to the 360 and PS3's), makes it easy and fun for parents, young
children, and even grandparents to play and actually compete with the
teenagers who play video games more often. With Zelda and Super Smash
Bros. on the way, the future for Nintendo's Wii is bright, indeed. And
with a price tag rumored to be in the 200-300 dollar range, most
Americans will be able to afford to be a part of that future.
Microsoft's 360 seems like it will succeed. Not to the extent that the
PS and PS2 have succeeded, but enough for it to earn Microsoft an
entrance to the NEXT-generation console war. I am totally unsure about
the Sony Playstation 3. While I think its price of $600 dollars is
insanely high, the benefit of having a pre-installed Blu-ray player and
the best graphics console in the world is enough to make many people
want to pay to have it. But will enough people see that benefit? Or
will they see the price tag of 600, look at the 400 price tag for the
360 and buy it instead? I'm on the post on this one. In my gut, I
believe people will accept the PS3 and make it successful. But my mind
tells me that it all depends on which format wins, blu-ray or HD.